The Norwegian professor says America will collapse while the property mogul is the White House.
Galtung is known as the “founding
father” of peace studies as a scientific subject and is recognised for
correctly predicting numerous historical events, among them the
Tiananmen Square uprising in China and the September 11 attacks.
According to Independent, he attracted controversy in 2000 when he predicted US global power would collapse by 2025.
But under the Bush administration he
revised his forecast for the collapse to 2020. Now, he says that reality
that is materialising following election of the bombastic billionaire.
Trump’s election on an anti-immigrant
platform coincides with one of the final phases of the decline predicted
in the social scientist’s 2009 book The Fall of the American Empire—and
then What? where he forecast the rise of facism before the country’s
power receded. The President-elect has vowed to deport
three million illegal immigrants as soon as he enters office and build a
wall along the American border with Mexico.
He told Motherboard the election of Mr
Trump “speeds up the decline”, although he qualified the statement,
saying: “Of course, what he does as a President remains to be seen.”
Dr Galtung added that the President-elect’s critical attitude to Nato also indicated the US would cease to be a superpower.
The Republican has previously indicated
the US might not come to the aid of those in the alliance if they failed
to meet the designated defence spending.
“The collapse has two faces,” Dr Galtung
told the tech news site, “Other countries refuse to be good allies and
the USA has to do the killing themselves, by bombing from high
altitudes, drones steered by computer from an office, special forces
killing all over the place.
“Both are happening today, except for
Northern Europe, which supports these wars, for now. That will probably
not continue beyond 2020, so I stand by that deadline.”
Yet Xenia Wickett, head of the US and
Americas programme at think-tank Chatham House told The Independent it
was “totally unrealistic” to believe the US would stop being a global
power by 2020.
“The US is a global power for many
reasons. It has the strongest military in the world, it has the most
robust soft power in terms of its universities, […] in terms of its
companies and in terms of the reach of its media. It also remains the
biggest economy in the world. The idea that any of these things are
going to change in the next four years is unrealistic.”
Meanwhile, Donald Trump’s incoming White
House press secretary Sean Spicer is whining that Trump is not getting
the respect that he deserves.
It is clear that the president-elect and
his team are very upset about a perceived lack of respect from the
media and the American people. In an interview with the Hill, Spicer
moaned about Trump not getting the respect that he deserves from the
press, “There’s some positive aspects here and there, but largely it
still continues to not treat him with the respect that he deserves.
I think for a lot of folks inside the
beltway, and inside pundit-world, they don’t fully appreciate the
understanding that he has of where the American people are.
They continue to mock him in ways, when
it frankly just shows the lack of understanding of that they have of
where the American people are and what they think.”
Spicer’s latest comments come one week
after he complained to ABC’s This Week about Trump being mocked,
“Everything he does right now, he gets — he speaks for the head of
Sprint, gets 5,000 jobs moved from abroad. And everyone starts to mock
him. Oh, those jobs were already announced.
They weren’t. The sales jobs have been a
previous announce. These jobs were coming from abroad to America. And
instead of trying to mock him or undermine him, it’s time that people
started to give him credit for actually getting things done.”
There has been very little mocking of
Trump in the media. In terms of television, the bulk of the coverage has
been soft on the president-elect.